Back to Labs
View Methodology
Q1 2026 Data | Updated Quarterly

Zillions to One | Trade Intelligence

Trade Value Realization Index

Are Canadian exporters realizing the value they promised?
From export strategy to market outcomes — the gap nobody measures.

12
Exporters Analyzed
69%
Average VRI
4
On Track
3
At Risk
6
Sectors

Why Bluelay?

What we do differently than traditional trade consultants.

Traditional Approach

Point-in-time market studies. Strategy recommendations. Project ends.

No outcome validation
Bluelay VRI

Continuous measurement. Intent vs outcome tracking. Value verification.

Accountability built-in
The Result

2.3x more value realized. Clear ownership. Measurable progress.

Real ROI, not reports
Tier:
Sector:
ExporterTierSectorTRADE INTENTEXECUTIONOUTCOMESVRIRisk
Mkt DivFTASupplyDigitalESGNew MktComplyPartnerExport %Mkt ShareMarginUSA DepScoreTrend
🇨🇦
CA-TECH-L1
Canada
L
Tech
+33%+2.8%+4.2%52%88Low
🇨🇦
CA-AERO-M1
Canada
M
Aero
+18.8%+1.5%+2.1%55%82Low
🇨🇦
CA-TECH-S1
Canada
S
Tech
+46.2%+0.1%+2.8%58%78Low
🇨🇦
CA-TECH-L3
Canada
L
Tech
+2.7%+0.3%+0.8%42%76Low
🇨🇦
CA-AUTO-L2
Canada
L
Auto
+8.7%+1.2%-3.5%65%74Medium
🇨🇦
CA-TECH-L2
Canada
L
Tech
0%-0.5%+1.2%48%72Medium
🇨🇦
CA-MINE-M1
Canada
M
Mini
+8.1%+0.5%+1.8%28%71Medium
🇨🇦
CA-AUTO-L1
Canada
L
Auto
-1.6%-0.8%-2.1%78%68Medium
🇨🇦
CA-AGRI-S1
Canada
S
Agri
+13.6%+0.2%-1.5%72%65Medium
🇨🇦
CA-AGRI-L1
Canada
L
Agri
-6.1%-1.8%-4.2%35%58High
🇨🇦
CA-FOOD-L1
Canada
L
Cons
-4.3%-1.2%-2.8%68%54High
🇨🇦
CA-MANU-S1
Canada
S
Cons
-16.3%-0.5%-8.2%92%38High

VRI Score Guide

80-100: Leading
60-79: On Track
40-59: Lagging
0-39: At Risk

What's Working

  • Digital/SaaS exporters bypassing physical trade barriers
  • Aerospace recovery showing strong VRI improvement
  • FTA-compliant firms outperforming by 1.4x
  • Market diversification correlates with resilience

Critical Gaps

  • SMEs absorbing tariffs with no negotiating power
  • Agriculture hit hardest by China tensions
  • 70%+ USA dependency = high concentration risk
  • Compliance costs disproportionately impact smaller firms

How Bluelay Helps

  • FTA utilization optimization (avg 12% cost savings)
  • Market diversification roadmapping
  • Trade compliance automation
  • Continuous VRI monitoring & improvement

Trade Agreements Created Opportunity. They Did Not Guarantee Growth.

We don't rank exporters. We reveal the gap between intent and realization.

Exporter identifiers are anonymized by sector and tier. VRI scores represent Bluelay's assessment methodology based on public financial data and trade statistics.

Data sources: Statistics Canada, company filings, EDC reports, Global Trade Atlas. All figures in CAD unless noted.